Originally Posted by
Nick
I appreciate the additional responses; thanks guys!! :)
I apologize then, as it seemed to me that your response was asking questions rather than providing specific answers.
But regarding your answers, Barron at LT may or may not work out, but I agree it's certainly an option in 2009. For the long-term? Well, the problem I have with Barron as the long term fit there is, if he plays well this year, it will make him one of those players who magically doesn't get it until money is on the line. Many of those players play well to earn their new contract and then return back to mediocrity once they're signed long term and already have that bonus money.
Given Barron's questionable work ethic, concentration issues, and attitude, I suspect he'll become one of these players. I would not be thrilled to watch the Rams pay Barron top left tackle money because he underachieved for four seasons and then magically put it together in his contract year. I would prefer the team let him walk (or tag-and-trade him, if he plays well in '09) and go another route in the future. We can agree to disagree there.
At right tackle, Loadholt doesn't fit the character profile of this team. He has two previous off the field incidents: a disorderly conduct charge from 2006 and an arrest in 2008 on suspicion of driving under the influence and transporting an open container of beer. Do you think the Rams would still consider him with this history?
Beatty's a possibility but also has some concerning weaknesses of his own. Do you feel comfortable replacing Alex Barron with a player of questionable work ethic, toughness, and who has concentration issues? If we're going to replace Alex Barron, I'd prefer it not to be with someone who shares the weak points that have contributed to him being a disappointment thus far. And I've previously been an advocate of Beatty as a second round option. But I must admit the specific concerns I find with deeper research stand out to me as rather alarming and not much of a fit towards what the Rams are looking for personality-wise.
Regarding our current roster, Bell on the right side looks like a smokescreen at this point, since he didn't spend any time there during the first minicamp. Neither did Greco from what I hear, who at this point I think has settled in at guard. Maybe they get work there later, but I don't think they're very good fits. Do you? If so, why?
Finally, if you draft a tackle in the top five, I would assume he'll play on the left side and move Barron back to the right side. Or worst case scenario, he plays RT for one year before moving to LT in 2010. He's not going to be a RT his entire career.
I would assume that GMs could find tackles in a round other than the first as well. But the Rams really need someone capable of making an immediate impact, unless you like hearing Adam Goldberg's name in the starting line-up. And when it comes to finding a tackle prospect who can make an immediate impact, players drafted outside the first round rarely contribute in that manner.
Last year, only one of fourteen tackles drafted outside of the first round started for his team at the position. In 2007, only one of nineteen non-first round tackles made an immediate impact for their team that season at tackle. Can we agree that finding a guy outside of the first round who can step in and contribute at tackle is a rather difficult task, even for experienced NFL GMs? Knowing that poor success rate when it comes to non-first round tackles making immediate impacts for their team, what makes you feel that third round options Kropog, Tupou, and Cadogan could be the exception rather than the rule?
As for your specific second round options, I have to ask - one of the reasons you say you prefer Jason Smith over Eugene Monroe is because you feel Monroe lacks a killer instinct and that reminds you in some manner of Barron. Why then is Beatty a good option for the second round, when his work ethic, attitude, and concentration are even bigger similarities to Barron? You also said there are several choices in round two, but aside from the three guys I mentioned and analyzed in my original post, I'm not sure who else qualifies as a second round offensive tackle prospect. Could you elaborate?
Well for starters I'd--
Oh, uhh, okay... :o ;)
Definitely, but isn't adding a premier OT a way to build for the future as well? I mean, we're addressing both immediate and future needs with either position. So I'm not sure I see the problem here.
Barron is a free agent after this season, and we have nothing at right tackle right now. I'd say this is a pretty significant move for the future as well as immediate need.
BPA is great in theory, but from a practical standpoint, I don't believe any team ever uses it at the top of the first round without factoring in other considerations as well. And when you're picking that high and spending so much money on a player, immediate impact is very much a consideration. So is contract size relative to positional importance. By that I mean it's a lot easier to shell out $30 million guaranteed as part of a $60 million contract to a premier position like OT than it is a 4-3 MLB.
If the Rams truly just cut a $60 million pass protecting LT, then it wouldn't have taken Pace over three weeks to find a new job. The fact that Pace sat around on the market well into April illustrates that his skills have slipped since his Pro Bowl days and he was no longer the $60 million tackle of days past.
As for the Rams' offensive scheme, we really don't know what it calls for at this point. All we have to go on is talk about the West Coast offense combined with Shurmur's own coaching history. The term West Coast offense though is so broad that it could refer to any number of specific schematic choices within the system.
I think the easiest way to look at what Shurmur may want to do offensively is to look at where he's come from. He spent ten years as an assistant on the Eagles coaching staff, I believe seven of which were spent as QBs coach. During that span, Shurmur's passers have been protected by three-time Pro Bowl and former first round left tackle Tra Thomas. The Eagles also spent a second round pick on Winston Justice to groom as Thomas' eventual replacement. Justice has since not worked out, and the Eagles currently have a hole at tackle.
More recently, ESPN's Michael Smith reports that the Eagles have "engaged in serious discussions" with the Bills about LT Jason Peters. There has also been talk about moving Shawn Andrews - the Eagles best blocker - out to left tackle this season. So I think it's pretty safe to say that the Eagles place a pretty high value on the left tackle position, even in their version of the WCO. A version that Shurmur will probably draw heavily from when shaping his offense in St. Louis.
Additionally, there are plenty of teams who put a focus on running the ball but have spent high resources on securing a franchise left tackle. For instance, Carolina threw the fewest amount of passes in the NFL last year with 414 attempts, and finished 24th in attempts the year before. But that didn't stop them from retaining their former first-round offensive tackle Jordan Gross to a huge deal this offseason to make sure they have him lined up for the future. Gross signed a $60 million deal with over $30 million in guaranteed money, making him one of the highest paid tackles in the game.
Whether you're a passing team or a running team, a West Coast offense or an Air Coryell offense, the blind-side tackle is a position of critical importance. If you look over the last decade of positions taken in the top three picks, offensive tackle is second only to quarterback, and there's a reason why. Just as there's a reason why eight offensive tackles were drafted in the first round last year. A shift to the West Coast offense is going to mean a shift in emphasis regarding faster releases and shorter drops, and that will help our blockers. But it doesn't erase the need for an athletic wall of a blocker protecting the quarterback's blind side.
Again, I would refer you back to the Eagles' offense. Over the last five years, Phialdelphia's version of the WCO never ranked outside of the top ten when it came to pass attempts. It's an offense that liked to pass the ball quite a lot, even though they largely did not have ideal receivers on the perimeter in the passing game. While I expect the Rams to make running the ball a priority in their scheme as well, this isn't a team that's suddenly going to become the Ravens or Panthers in terms of passing the ball 42-45% of the time. I just don't see it happening.
And while a West Coast scheme will likely feature quicker releases and shorter drop backs, linemen still have to block long enough for those passes to be made. Which means having the athletic ability and lateral quickness to shield off the edge from a quick speed rusher who doesn't need a quarterback to drop back seven steps in order to pose a threat. It means having the physical strength as well as lower body strength to get proper leverage on a bull rush and stonewall a guy rather than get shoved back into the pocket where even a three step drop can be disrupted. It means having the strong initial hand punch to rock a guy off his path and force him to adjust rather than a player who is constantly playing defense and trying to make up lost ground protecting his quarterback.
Cutting down on the amount of time it takes to drop back and get the ball out of the pocket can certainly help an offensive line in the protection department, but it isn't a way to subvert the need for high quality blocking. If it was, every team in the NFL would switch to a scheme that allowed them to lessen the priority of offensive tackles. But that's not what's happening. Instead, we saw a draft last year where eight tackles went in the first round, and we'll likely see one this year where five if not more have their names called in the first 32 picks.
If a team has a vacancy at the left tackle position and has a chance to add not only a top talent but a player who has great intangibles and work ethic as both Smith and Monroe do, I don't think there are many teams who would pass on that opportunity and put off that kind of decision until the mid rounds. Especially knowing how much of a gamble it is to get any kind of immediate results from such a pick.