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  1. #1
    AvengerRam's Avatar
    AvengerRam is offline Moderator Emeritus
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    30 Receptions, 411 Yards, 5 TDs

    Here's a prediction.

    At the end of the 2008 season, unless Donnie Avery (and, to a lesser extent, Keenan Burton) bursts onto the scene and plays like a future Pro Bowl player, there will be fans who will use his rookie stats as "proof" that he was a bad selection. As further proof, they will cite to any rookie WR who has better rookie numbers.

    To those people, I prospectively offer the following stats:

    30 Receptions
    411 Yards
    5 TDs

    What, you ask, are these stats supposed to represent?

    Simple.

    These are the average of the rookie stats of five WR who did not show their true potential as rookies. Rather, they, as these stats would indicate, produced moderate results that, in subsequent years, they greatly exceeded.

    Those 5 players?

    Chad Johnson
    Larry Fitzgerald
    Terrell Owens
    Steve Smith
    Isaac Bruce

    Truth be told, without Fitzgerald's #s, which were good for a rookie (58/780/8), the averages would have been significantly lower.

    So, while there's nothing wrong with hoping that Avery (or Burton) will be the next Marques Colston, if they are not, that DOES NOT MEAN they were the wrong choices.

    As the saying goes, only time will tell.


  2. #2
    ramsplaya16's Avatar
    ramsplaya16 is offline Registered User
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    Re: 30 Receptions, 411 Yards, 5 TDs

    good post i agree completely
    Built RAM tough

  3. #3
    bigredman's Avatar
    bigredman is offline Registered User
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    Re: 30 Receptions, 411 Yards, 5 TDs

    I don't know if you can simplify it to that extent. I mean, a receiver's stats depend on so much. The offensive scheme, primarily run first and throw or throw first and run. Then you have the defense. If your defense is dominate, it's likely that your offense doesn't have to do much and the numbers go down. If your offensive line sucks or the QB, I don't care how good a receiver you are, you can't catch what doesn't get thrown to ya. Booya!
    Last edited by bigredman; -06-10-2008 at 11:24 PM.
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  4. #4
    Fat Pang's Avatar
    Fat Pang is offline Registered User
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    Re: 30 Receptions, 411 Yards, 5 TDs

    Good point and well made.

    I have little hope it well get people off the Kiper/Schein inspired "Avery is a terrible" pick tourbus but it offers perspective.

  5. #5
    evil disco man's Avatar
    evil disco man is offline Pro Bowl Ram
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    Re: 30 Receptions, 411 Yards, 5 TDs

    A pre-meditated counter-argument. Nice.

    BRM makes some very good points and I'd also like to add that it depends on whether they are playing on the outside, in the slot, or as a situational player. No matter how good they are, some rookies just don't get an opportunity to put up big numbers right away.

    I'd be pleased if those were Avery's rookie stats.

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