It's pretty surprising to see Fisher claiming #1's in future years are worth more than current to him. It is very well established that any time you want you can trade the now for the later and get a premium. That '12 #22 could easily be a '13 #16 or an extra 2nd. There is a time value to picks just like there is to money.
Personally I think what happened is the pick was pre-sold to the Skins, because you guys wanted to move with absolute maximum speed to take advantage of a market peak. The strange "one bid" auction was simply the agreed-upon means by which that price was set. I think this answers the question of where the strange "Cleveland doesn't want to offer that much" noise came from (Wash), as well as the remarkable honor shown in sticking to the one-bid thing versus taking a better offer because it didn't conform to self-created, self-enforced rules. Frankly I think the Rams were pretty smart to do what they did overall, glad we retained our picks, and will be rooting hard for your extra picks to be top 10!
I think something else that everyone missing here is that we will have more CAP $ in 13 and 14, and that may have been another deciding factor in whether we wanted most of the picks this year or in later years.
I have absolutely no sources to back up my opinion on this.
I honestly believe the reason we are taking the Washington bid is because Fisher knows we are going to need high draft picks in the future.
Sure, taking a bunch in one year can be awesome but, think about it closer. we have 6 first round picks in the next 3 years. Do you know what happens to males in 3 years? They get bigger, taller, and stonger and more importantly for the Rams, what happens around 2014 that you would REALLY need draft picks for?
Your star running back hits the end of his career.
Guys, Steven Jackson time is running out and by having 2 picks next year, we are secure if SJ retires, and if he decides to stick around for another season, we would probably part ways and be able to pick up another RB in the draft.
Just my opinion.
I think if you stop looking at these picks as players and view them as currency you'll understand why we took Washington's offer. This is all about controlling a draft and being able to move about to grab the players you think are game changers. You can find solid players at almost any level of the draft but when that elite player comes along that you just have to get you're gonna have to be able to pay the price. Now we can.
I guess it's all about how you look at building for the long haul. The Rams felt the Washington deal was the best way to go and I agree. Being able to keep your options open with multiple high draft picks in multiple years, after seeing what happens with future trades and future free agency periods, substantially helps the prospects of getting it right IMO.
The fly in the ointment for me is we don't know what the Washington picks for 2013 and 2014 are going to equate to. Top ten, middle or bottom ten?? Here's to hoping the Skins fall flat on their faces.
The 2014 Washington pick could be as low as #32. However, I highly doubt it. The Redskins regularly pick in the top 10-15. I think Fisher and Snead recognize that the Browns are getting better, are in a much better situation in regards to the salary cap, and even if they don't improve that much in the next year it wasn't going to make up for that #22 pick. There are no absolute game-changers at the end of the first round in this draft, IMO.