My reading comprehension skills are just fine. And if you feel fantasy sports are enjoyable, great. I get the whole concept of having a reason to watch a game in which you otherwise may have no interest. But I happen to think they're a colossal waste of time and effort becuase as a purist, they de-value the game itself. A well played game and the nuances of each contest are lost in one worrying about player "A" or player "B" getting them fantasy points. Kids grow up having no clue about the game- judging guys only on numbers.
These guys have a right to their opinion on Austin like anyone else, But their perpective is skewed because they basically consider the guy no good since he didn't break off enough big plays the 1st half of the season- thus no fantasy points. Such opinions provide nothing objective on which to fairly judge a guy.
consistancy is the key to not be a Man without a Hat and do a Safety Dance.
Both sides of the Austin is or isnt a hit or miss need to be reserved atm until the season is over.
We can re-address this situation in December =)
If the article was making the case that Austin isn't going to have multiple TD games every week, I would agree, but the way I read it, they're saying his ability to put up TD's is a fluke, and that his performance was a one and done.
To me, that notion is hyperbole. Didn't he have a 2 TD performance in week two against Atlanta? Didn't he have a 63 yard TD catch called back against Carolina? Didn't he have an 84 yard punt return for a TD called back against Dallas? If you add those TD's to his total of 5, he's got 7, which would put him in a tie for 12th most in the NFL. IMO, that's production, and no fluke. You could argue the 2 TD's nullified by penalties don't count, but the point is that he has proven he can make big plays on a regular basis, despite limited targets. And going forward, I'd be surprised if his targets don't increase.Quote:
If you happened to own Austin in redraft leagues, try to cash in on his breakout. Otherwise you might be in for some heartbreak chasing points with him in your lineup next week.
IMO, to suggest that Austin won't be a threat to score the rest of the season on any consistent basis, is, well......baseless. And speaking of baseless, I find it hilarious that the fantasy "expert" I quoted, who supposedly does his homework and deep analysis, doesn't even realize that Austin won't be playing next week.
One thing is sure, and that is the likelihood Austin will be getting a lot more attention from opposing defenses the rest of the season. Somehow, I find it impossible to believe that opposing DCs will agree with the "fluke" epithet. Last Sunday was a graphic example of what happens when Tavon is allowed to get out in open space.
Even without touching the ball, Tavon can draw more holding/interference penalties beyond the 5 yards dbs are allowed to jam. If Schotty is doing his homework, he can design schemes where Austin can draw off coverage, or even better clear the top off.
If anything, last Sunday, T.A. erased IMO any doubts about his skill set not translating from college to the NFL. Bailey will be next ..
I'm not exactly sure what you are arguing against as I did not present any opinions that contradict anything you are saying, nor did I express any opinions along the lines that are counter to what you are saying.
I'm not sure why you are quoting my post, as you are saying nothing that addresses anything that I wrote. Almost seems like your having a conversation with yourself.
Have fun with that.
I can see how my comment could be misinterpreted. Of course I didn't imply Austin would literally score or not score three touchdowns each week. I mean that this particular performance was a huge, near record-breaking performance that we shouldn't count on seeing on a regular basis. That's the nature of records after all. The original question seems to ask if Austin will now produce a much higher (than currently) stat line each week.
Right now I don't think Austin has the snap count and production to hit that regularly. That is not to dismiss his performance to date or that he is somehow incapable of it (I personally think he's capable), but that he needs to see the field more to hit those numbers with any sort of consistency. Catching the ball better wouldn't hurt either.
So I wouldn't read too much into it.
I find this whole thread somewhat amusing. This is a prime example of an apples and oranges comparison and some people don't seem capable of distinguishing the two. This was a fantasy article which made its way into a fan site which is primarily dedicated to the true game of football. While a "purist" may find the op article worthless, a fantasy player who wants to be well informed may very well find value in it. To try and read the article as fan may be painful, it most likely has merit in the fantasy football world. I won't go any deeper than that in trying to analyze the article because I'm just not that interested in fantasy football and that is what the article is about.
I wouldn't read ANYTHING into it. Unless you own Austin in a fantasy league, in which case you might find it useful.Quote:
So I wouldn't read too much into it.
Playing way back then was really a lot of fun, however, it did require a great deal of time poring over stats, watching as many games as possible, and keeping up with injuries around the league. In my own case, I soon realized the importance of watching for unknown rookie running backs that made the final cut down each year. I watched every preseason game intently; compiling lists of guys I might want to draft or pick up during the season to replace injured guys. There wasn’t any “fantasy software” available back then, so playing was very time consuming if you wanted to win.
Surprisingly I am still pursued by guys in the old league I used to participate in, to join up and play again. Today, I no longer have the time or the inclination. As others have pointed out in this thread, it is difficult if not impossible (for me anyway) to watch a game one really cares about intently, while simultaneously trying to maintain a (WINNING!) fantasy team. Back when I did play, I finished in the money (1st 2nd or 3rd) every year during the 5 years I played. Now days, there is plenty of football to watch with NFL Ticket/Thursday & Sunday nights, so much that the thought of playing FF again makes me tired just to think about it. FF had its place for me back when I was lucky to see the Rams play once or twice a year. Now – forget about it. I can watch every Rams game, and I do!
So yes NJR, I see FF from your side of the fence now. For those who do have the time and inclination to play FF, go for it. I sure had fun playing for a few years.
When I did still play FF, I never rooted for players to do well against the Rams - EVER! That would be akin to rooting for the Rams to lose so they might obtain a higher draft pick. For me, this is not a cerebral issue, it’s simply a matter of heart. I just can’t do it period.
Tavon got a big taste of success against a very good football team last Sunday. I was concerned about his confidence given the adversity he’s experienced with callbacks, penalties, and drops etc. Last Sunday was exactly what Tavon needed. Now it’s time to sit back and enjoy the ride, Austin may not score 3 tds every game, but he is going to provide a boost to our team, and highlights galore. I can’t wait till we play again!
Tavon Austin has played in 10 NFL games.
He has scored 2 or more touchdowns in 2 of those games.
That means that he scores 2 or more TDs in 20% of his games.
The Rams have 6 games to go.
That means, he will score 2 or more TDs in one game, and has a 1 in 5 chance of scoring 2 or more TDs in the 6th game.
Put another way, he is expected to score a minimum of 2.4 TDs in the remaining 6 games.
Two things you should recognize regarding the preceding analysis:
1. From a mathematical standpoint, everything posted above is correct.
2. From a reality standpoint, everything posted above is worthless.