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Old -17-09-2006
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Stats Fail to Support Critics of Linehan's Red Zone History

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The national media has been taking new head coach Scott Linehan to task about the Rams Red Zone woes, which several writers have said is a problem with Linehan's offense throughout his history as an offensive coordinator.

Gregg Rosenthal of NBC Sports said " . - Keep in mind Linehan's history in the red zone. It is not good"

That's pretty much the tone of the comments hitting the internet and other publications.

When examining the statistics, something these pundits fail to offer in their commentaries, the results are not that clear, not enough that some failure in Linehan's red zone offenses may have been due to the talent available in Minnesota and Miami, especially when Daunte Culpepper, Randy Moss, and the Viking backs were hurt.

In Miami, Linehan hardly had an ideal situation at QB as well.

That could be why the Dolphins were 26th in the NFL in scoring TD once in the red zone. That % was .404 in 2005.

However, in 2003, and 2004, those Viking offenses were actually pretty efficient in scoring TDs from the red zone.

In 2003, Minnesota ranked 7th in the NFL in red zone TD % at .564.

In 2004 the Vikings were 12th , at .569 with several teams very close to that ranked above them. Just a score or two more could have catapulted the Vikings to a top ten finish that year too.

Those Vikings teams got into the red zone alot 56 in 2004, the sixth most in the NFL, and 58 in 2003, fifth most in the league.

In 2005, Miami got into the Red Zone 52 times, 12th most in the NFL.

The Rams offense, as good as it was, fared little better than Linehan's teams under Mike Martz.

In 2004, the Rams were only 14th in the NFL at .548 for red zone TD %

In 2003, they were 15th at .500

In 2005, with Martz out much of the season, as well as Marc Bulger, the Rams limped in at 19th, with a .471 %.


The teams that dominate the top of the NFL in red zone TD% share one obvious trait, that appears to be the #1 catalyst for Red Zone efficiency. THEY CAN RUN THE BALL !!

In 2005, for instance, the top seven teams were Seattle, San Diego, New England, Washington, Indy, Pittsburgh and Denver, who all had backs that know hos tyo find the end zone.

In 2004, the top five were San Diego, Kansas City, Philadelphia, Indy, and Carolina, again, all teams that could run the ball, with Donovan McNabb providing some of that for the Eagles.

In 2003 , the top five were the Chiefs, Packers, Eagles, Seahawks, and Texans, with all but Houston having very good running attacks.

The stats seem to indicate that Linehan has actually not had a bad history in the Red Zone, especially lacking a top running threat in Minny.

They also make it clear that it's less about the coach, and more about the blocking and running, when it comes to Red Zone numbers.

In other words, it's going to take a better effort by the line and Steven Jackson to make the Rams offense a good one in the red zone. Perhaps Stephen Davis can do for the Rams what he did in Carolina and Washington in those key goalline plays.

At any rate, to those pundits climbing on Linehan's back, lay off, because the stats don't back you up too much.
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Old -17-09-2006
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Re: Stats Fail to Support Critics of Linehan's Red Zone History

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Originally Posted by Barry Waller View Post

The teams that dominate the top of the NFL in red zone TD% share one obvious trait, that appears to be the #1 catalyst for Red Zone efficiency. THEY CAN RUN THE BALL !!

In other words, it's going to take a better effort by the line and Steven Jackson to make the Rams offense a good one in the red zone. Perhaps Stephen Davis can do for the Rams what he did in Carolina and Washington in those key goalline plays.
Lets hope that Richie and Todd can help out in the red zone and set one of the Stevens/Stephens loose !!!
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Old -17-09-2006
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Re: Stats Fail to Support Critics of Linehan's Red Zone History

Why let facts get in the way of an opinion?

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Old -17-09-2006
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Re: Stats Fail to Support Critics of Linehan's Red Zone History

Quote:
Originally Posted by Barry Waller View Post
The teams that dominate the top of the NFL in red zone TD% share one obvious trait, that appears to be the #1 catalyst for Red Zone efficiency. THEY CAN RUN THE BALL !!

...

They also make it clear that it's less about the coach, and more about the blocking and running, when it comes to Red Zone numbers.
Which is interesting, since according to some Rams fans across the 'net for years now, it's Marc Bulger that's blamed for our red zone problems. Hope those people get a chance to read this article.
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Old -17-09-2006
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Re: Stats Fail to Support Critics of Linehan's Red Zone History

Running the ball may just be the key to the red zone. Perhaps Stephen Davis and better play by the OL can help us out in the red zone.
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Old -17-09-2006
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Re: Stats Fail to Support Critics of Linehan's Red Zone History

An effective running game is extremely key to a winning program, especially in the red zone.

It may seem as if I blame Bulger for th ered zone deficiencies but my statment continues to be that Bulger seems to tighten up and be less efficient as the field gets smaller. When the running game gets stuffed and Bulger is called upon to get the tough yardage by air it is not only his fault but the receivers for not getting sufficiently open.

Too many people in a small area getting bumped and pushed, timing is upset and Bulger, as do most QB's, tries to force things.

I agree they key to unlocking this mystery is a running game that helps to keep the defense honest.

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Old -17-09-2006
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Re: Stats Fail to Support Critics of Linehan's Red Zone History

National media is focusing more on the east coast teams and how bad Jake Plummer was/is.
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Old -17-09-2006
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Re: Stats Fail to Support Critics of Linehan's Red Zone History

Play calling in the red zone is the key. With a small field, the plays that are called need to be some that keeps the defense on thier heels a bit. Slow developing plays called down their are tough on a quarterback. Get the ball in the backs hands or a quick strike would be more effective in my opinion. Running the no huddle would keep the same defensive personell on the field and would favor the offense.

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Old -17-09-2006
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Re: Stats Fail to Support Critics of Linehan's Red Zone History

The "talking heads" generally don't give blocking the emphasis it merits. To them, if a player can't be matched with a specific box score statistic, he's not important.
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Old -17-09-2006
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Re: Stats Fail to Support Critics of Linehan's Red Zone History

I have to think that last weeks redzone Inefficiency was the playcalling. He ran (Linehan) I think two playactions in a row and then bulger just through it away on the third pass called in a row on the 4.
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