BTW, Lucks QB rating is now 79 :)
BTW, Lucks QB rating is now 79 :)
I think Luck will be a very good QB.
The comparison is really more about risk taking.
I think Sam has been risk averse for several reasons. On the good side, I think he is more of a "surgeon" than a "gunslinger," and is therefore likely to avoid costly mistakes. I also have to believe that playing in 3 systems in 3 years has caused him to think more, as opposed to just playing by instinct. Finally, while I doubt Sam would admit it, he's had few WRs who have been able to fight for the ball. Probably the best two he's had in that category have been Brandon Lloyd (for 1/2 season) and Danario Alexander (again, in limited time).
Does it slighty bother anyone else that we are comparing Sam to progress of a rookie? Does it also bother anyone that we are seeing thing from a rookie that we still don't see from Sam?
As for what we are "seeing from a rookie"... what I see is some undeniable talent, some highlight plays, and some dumb plays. Truth be told, Luck threw two passes that should have been intercepted yesterday, which would have resulted in a loss. He was lucky.
If I had to guess, I'd say that Luck will finish the year with a lot of yards, a lot of interceptions, and won't make the playoffs.
Who will be a better QB in the long run? Who knows? But, more importantly, who cares? The year the Rams needed to take a QB in the draft, their choices were Sam Bradford, Tim Tebow, Colt McCoy and Jimmy Clausen. Obviously, they took the right guy.
Reality is the Rams were so depleted with talent from horrible drafts and FA siginings that we still are sufferring from that. I just hope Sam survives the continued "rebuild"
No doubt we had (and still have) other personnel issues throughout the roster, but this is a QB driven league. Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Eli Manning, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger are all considered top of the line players. It is no coincidence each of their teams have won at least one SB since they've been there. And Matt Ryan has a chance to be the next one. I cannot fault the Rams for drafting who they thought would be a franchise QB. And while the jury is still out on exactly what Sam Bradford can become, he has shown he can be successful if he is given a respectable surrounding cast.
Sam should survive the "rebuild" or "remodel" just fine, as he is going to have the same coaching staff for at least two more years if not much longer. The constant turnover particularly with regard to OCs has not been a positive factor in Bradford's development.
The only skill that Bradford needs to develop, which takes time with all QBs and requires trust in the OL, is feeling the pressure around him. He needs to step up in the pocket more and become better at sliding to find his throwing lanes. Brees is the ultimate master of this but, as I said before, Bradford needs to have a good offensive line who he can trust. Hopefully using free agency and the draft these needs can be met.
The other issue is continuity within an offensive system. Those QBs named above spent many seasons with one offensive coordinator, getting comfortable and becoming masters of those systems. I look forward to the year where OTAs, minicamps and training camp aren't spent installing an offensive scheme but instead working on the finer details required to become a top offense in the NFL.
I think that supporting cast and system continuity are the keys. To see an example of that, all you need to do is look within the division at Alex Smith.
Early in his career, he went through a series of OCs and had sub-par offensive talent around him. The result? Passer ratings of 40.8, 74.8 and 57.2 in his first three years.
Now, with a solid O line, some weapons and continuity in the offensive scheme, his passer rating over the last three years: 82.1, 90.7, 102.1.
Does anyone think that Alex Smith is more talented than Sam Bradford? I certainly don't think he is. In fact, I think Sam has a higher ceiling.
The Rams have 4 first round picks and a ton of cap room over the next two years. If they spend their personnel capital well, Sam will be fine. Don't throw the baby out with the bathwater.