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  1. #1
    AvengerRam's Avatar
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    Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    Each year, I do a Rams Draft Board based upon my rankings of players as prospects, combined with my rankings of the Rams needs at each position. This system has been a fairly strong predictor of the Rams' selection. The scoring works as follows:

    Prospect Ranking
    5.0 – Blue Chip Prospect. Certain High First Rounder
    4.0 – Solid First Rounder, but could go late in first round.
    3.0 – Marginal First Rounder, could last until second round.
    2.0 – Day 1 Selection, but not a first rounder.
    1.0 – Mid-to late round selection.

    Need Ranking
    5.0 – Immediate need. Expected to start as rookie.
    4.0 – Priority need. Expected to play/compete for starting spot as rookie.
    3.0 – Non-priority need. Could play/start, but not a high priority.
    2.0 – Depth selection. Solid starter already in place.
    1.0 – No basis to select. Waste of first round selection.

    Here are my need rankings for 2006. They are based upon the assumption that Ryan Pickett, Marshall Faulk and Isaac Bruce will return.

    QB: 1.0
    RB: 1.5
    WR: 1.0
    TE: 3.0
    OT: 2.0
    OG: 3.0
    C: 3.0
    DE: 4.5
    DT: 3.5
    OLB: 5.0
    MLB: 4.5
    CB: 4.5
    S: 5.0

    If two players have the same combined score, I rank them based upon my subjective preference.

    Here is my preliminary draft board. Given that the Rams have the 11th pick, I've gone 12 players deep. I will likely update this after the combine.

    Player: Total Score (Prospect Ranking/Need Ranking)
    1. A.J. Hawk, OLB, Ohio State: 10.0 (5.0/5.0)
    2. Mario Williams, DE, NC State: 9.5 (5.0/4.5)
    3. Michael Huff, S, Texas: 9.5 (4.5/5.0)
    4. Chad Greenway, OLB, Iowa: 9.0 (4.0/5.0)
    5. DeMarco Ryans, OLB, Alabama: 8.5 (3.5/5.0)
    6. Jimmy Williams, CB, VaTech: 8.5 (4.0/4.5)
    7. Tye Hill, CB, Clemson: 8.0 (3.5/4.5)
    8. Haloti Ngota, DT, Oregon: 8.0 (4.5/3.5)
    9. D'Quell Jackson, MLB, Maryland: 8.0 (3.5/4.5)
    10. Vernon Davis, TE, Maryland: 7.5 (4.5/3.0)
    11. Kai Parham, MLB, Virginia: 7.5 (3.0/4.5)
    12. Mathias Kiwanuka, DE, Boston College: 7.5 (3.0/4.5)


  2. #2
    Nick's Avatar
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    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    I've always been intrigued by this concept. The problem is, I don't think Haloti Ngata is the eighth best defender in this draft, nor would I take those seven players ahead of Ngata if I had the choice. Kai Parham is a solid second round guy, so I'm not sure I agree with a prospect ranking that calls him a marginal first rounder. Nor would I select D'Qwell Jackson over Vernon Davis. It's interesting to try and assign values to players like this, but I think in some instances, the tactic betrays you by overrating need and putting a bigger emphasis on it than on skill.
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  3. #3
    AvengerRam's Avatar
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    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    Its kind of fun that you and I have this discussion every year, Nick.

    One could certainly change the ratios around, making skill a 1-10 score and need a 1-5 score, for example. I personally like the 50/50 balance. It allows me to eliminate a player like Reggie Bush, who arguably could be a 5.0 on skill, but is a 1.5 on need.

    I welcome the critical analysis, though. By no means am I trying to assert that I'm 100% right. I think that, right now, I'm just very high on the idea of getting a young, talented, LB on the roster. Maybe I've been over-influenced by the success of guys like Odell Thurman and Lofa Tatupu.

    We'll see how this develops when I get to version 2.0.

  4. #4
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    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    Quote Originally Posted by AvengerRam
    [FONT=Century Gothic]

    DE: 4.5
    DT: 3.5
    OLB: 5.0
    MLB: 4.5
    CB: 4.5
    S: 5.0
    Nice post, but I think I disagree with your need rankings. For example, MLB is probably too high considering that we have Claiborne on the roster and he's been at least decent in every year he's played except last year. Given his contract number, I doubt MLB is high on our needs list.

    Also, considering that we have three average to above average cornerbacks on the roster in Butler, Bartell, and Fischer with a decent depth guy like Groce there, I doubt the staff sees CB as such a high need too. [In fact, I'll just state that I think most Rams fans underestimate our CBs and overestimate their importance. Obviously this has been my hobby horse since coming to the board).

    Plus, you need to rate a guy like Tamba Hali. I think he's a reasonable possibility as a pick for us.

  5. #5
    AvengerRam's Avatar
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    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    If I went 15 deep, you'd probably see Hali there, along with Sedrick Hodge.

  6. #6
    Nick's Avatar
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    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    Quote Originally Posted by AvengerRam
    If I went 15 deep, you'd probably see Hali there, along with Sedrick Hodge.
    ...you mean Abdul Hodge? LOL
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  7. #7
    AvengerRam's Avatar
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    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    D'oh!!!! Yes, I meant Abdul Hodge. Are they related?

  8. #8
    Rampage39 Guest

    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    i think there maybe a real life sedrick/cedric hodge in the NFL.

  9. #9
    AvengerRam's Avatar
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    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    There is. He's a LB on the Saints. That's why I got mixed up.

  10. #10
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    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    Really nice post "AR" this is the frist daft since joining the clan Ram very nice indeed... I posted in the NFL talk forum the way players are tested in the combine , Like the way your raking stack up...

  11. #11
    bigredman Guest

    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    Very interesting. I would have swapped need ratings between OG and DE on your list. Good linebacking can substitute for average DE's. Our interior OL needs are greater in my opinion.

  12. #12
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    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    No good line makes LB's better because good line takes up 2 or even 3 sometimes blockers leaving huge holes for LBs to run through and get tackles.

  13. #13
    general counsel's Avatar
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    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    Need certainly breaks all ties in terms of drafting. Reaching for need is an accident waiting to happen. See the robert thomas movie. Not suggesting thomas was terrible at that spot, but i believe that there were much better choices available.

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  14. #14
    bigredman Guest

    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    Quote Originally Posted by rams_fan81
    No good line makes LB's better because good line takes up 2 or even 3 sometimes blockers leaving huge holes for LBs to run through and get tackles.
    I'm glad you are reading my posts son, I agree with you...

    #1 key to our defense in 2006 Post thread
    Quote Originally Posted by bigredman
    Very true GC. It will be very important to get better production from our defensive line. This improves performance of the line-backing corp by keeping offensive linemen off of them in both stopping the run and blitz packages. Realistically, this is probably going to be a project that will take the next two years to get us competitive in the playoffs again in 2008.
    But I think you misunderstood my post. I was disputing whether taking a defensive lineman was a higher priority in regards to need than taking an interior offensive lineman or a linebacker in the draft.

    Glad to see young guys in here though, mixin' it up with us old farts. Keep it up!

  15. #15
    AvengerRam's Avatar
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    Re: Annual "AR System" Rams Draft Board (Version 1.0)

    I'll be updating this after the combine.

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