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  1. #1
    BarronWade's Avatar
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    B-Dub's mock off-season 2012 1.0

    Fisher is our head coach Williams in most likely our DC lets goo with a mock

    Key Departures:
    Jason Brown (dead weight)
    Brandon Lloyd (thanks for some exciting plays this year good luck with McD in NE)
    Ron Bartell (coming off an injury with an inflated contract)
    Justin King (idk i just love seeing his name under the departure list)

    Key re-signs:
    Danny Boy
    Darian Stewart
    Jacob Bell
    Tony Wraggle
    Cadilac Williams

    Key Arrivals:
    Cortland Finnagan DB
    Albert Haynsworth DT (vet min/ lets see if fisher can re-establish this former beast)
    Aubroyo Franklin DT (we are stopping the run this year!!)

    Draft note: i would love to trade with the browns but i am not going to mock any trades

    Draft:

    Round 1: Justin Blackmon, WR
    Analysis: O-line issues are so overated we have talent on the O-line and with out Lloyd our WR core is just a bunch of question marks...Get the Playmaker!

    Round 2: Ronnell Lewis, OLB
    Analysis: It might look like a reach now but idc...Gregg williams needs his OLB to get to the pass rusher and i am sick up puttin a random scrub to line with JLau...Williams scheme will make Lewis look like a star and one more thing he is a GREAT TACKLER...We will not be the worst tackling team next year.

    Round 3: Ben Jones, C
    Analysis: TBH i still believe Saffold is a quality OT and Jason Smith can potentially be a good OT, we have Dahl, we need a good Center to solidify the entire O-line...Jones can be a leader and he is physical to help Jax with his up the middle runs

    Round 4: Keenan Robinson, OLB
    Analysis: 2 OLBs in our first 4 picks? YES! Fisher is known for his stingy D and Williams for his blitz happy schemes so we need a LB that can zone and cover the TEs in Willams exotic blitzing schemes

    Round 5: Brandon Lloyd rams 2011 highlight reel


    Later rounds i expect us to address Defensive depth in the secondary

    Draft Notes:

    -I did not take a RB because i do not think the mid round RBs are an upgrade over Cadi (cadi can run and catch the ball and can also block)

    -Our Oline will look similar to last year: Saffold-Bell-JONES-Dahl-Smith obviously we can upgrade the LG but right now i think this is a solid group

    -Danario Alexander will be our starting #2 until he gets injured

    -WR depth Blackmon-Alexander-Amendola-Salas-Pettis or Gibson
    Last edited by BarronWade; -01-14-2012 at 11:34 PM.


  2. #2
    sosa39rams's Avatar
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    Re: B-Dub's mock off-season 2012 1.0

    " -Our Oline will look similar to last year: Saffold-Bell-JONES-Dahl-Smith obviously we can upgrade the LG but right now i think this is a solid group "

    I thought you were cutting Jason Smith...

  3. #3
    BarronWade's Avatar
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    Re: B-Dub's mock off-season 2012 1.0

    Quote Originally Posted by sosa39rams View Post
    " -Our Oline will look similar to last year: Saffold-Bell-JONES-Dahl-Smith obviously we can upgrade the LG but right now i think this is a solid group "

    I thought you were cutting Jason Smith...
    Thank You

    I meant to say Jason Brown our former starting Center i have just changed it

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    Re: B-Dub's mock off-season 2012 1.0

    -Our Oline will look similar to last year: Saffold-Bell-JONES-Dahl-Smith obviously we can upgrade the LG but right now i think this is a solid group
    The success of your running back or quarterback hinges partly on the ability of his offensive line. So before you make your final decision on who to draft, check our NFL offensive line rankings to see who has an advantage as well as who's at a disadvantage.

    Rankings are based on each unit's ability to both run and pass block.

    Regular season totals, playoffs not included
    Revised as of 1/2/2012

    Teams are ranked according to Adjusted Line Yards. Based on regression analysis, the Adjusted Line Yards formula takes all running back carries and assigns responsibility to the offensive line based on the following percentages:

    Losses: 120% value
    0-4 Yards: 100% value
    5-10 Yards: 50% value
    11+ Yards: 0% value

    These numbers are then adjusted based on down, distance, situation, opponent, and the difference in rushing average between shotgun compared to standard formations. Finally, we normalize the numbers so that the league average for Adjusted Line Yards per carry is the same as the league average for RB yards per carry. These stats are explained further here.

    The following stats are not adjusted for opponent:

    RB Yards: Yards per carry by that team's running backs, according to standard NFL numbers.
    10+ Yards: Percentage of a team's rushing yards more than 10 yards past the line of scrimmage. Represents yardage not reflected in Adjusted Line Yards stat.

    Power Success: Percentage of runs on third or fourth down, two yards or less to go, that achieved a first down or touchdown. Also includes runs on first-and-goal or second-and-goal from the two-yard line or closer. This is the only statistic on this page that includes quarterbacks.

    Stuffed: Percentage of runs where the running back is tackled at or behind the line of scrimmage. Since being stuffed is bad, teams are ranked from stuffed least often (#1) to most often (#32).

    NFL averages for each stat given in red.

    Why are these rankings different from the team offense DVOA ratings for rushing? Among other reasons, they don't include quarterbacks or fumbles, long runs are truncated, and a different set of adjustments is used, attempting to isolate line play rather than total team offense.

    A team with a high ranking in Adjusted Line Yards but a low ranking in 10+ Yards is heavily dependent on its offensive line to make the running game work. A team with a low ranking in Adjusted Line Yards but a high ranking in 10+ Yards is heavily dependent on its running back breaking long runs to make the running game work.

    However, it is important to understand that these ratings only somewhat separate the offensive line from the running backs. A team with a very good running back will appear higher no matter how bad their line, and a team with a great line with appear lower if the running back is terrible.

    Stats in blue represent pass blocking. Teams are ranked according to adjusted sack rate, which gives sacks (plus intentional grounding penalties) per pass attempt adjusted for down, distance, and opponent. Pass blocking stats are explained further here. Our sack totals may differ slightly from official NFL totals depending on the league's retroactive statistical adjustments.

    RUN BLOCKING PASS PROTECTION
    Team Adj. Line
    Yards RB
    Yards Power
    Success Power
    Rank Stuffed Stuffed
    Rank 2nd Level
    Yards 2nd Level
    Rank Open Field
    Yards Open Field
    Rank Team Rank Sacks Adjusted
    Sack Rate
    1 NO 4.95 5.02 65% 11 15% 1 1.50 1 0.91 13 BUF 1 23 3.8%
    2 NE 4.53 4.17 62% 17 17% 7 1.22 14 0.45 30 TEN 2 24 4.2%
    3 PIT 4.43 4.48 57% 24 20% 23 1.32 6 0.82 16 NO 3 24 4.4%
    4 HOU 4.36 4.65 64% 14 18% 12 1.43 4 0.92 11 CIN 4 25 4.5%
    5 CAR 4.32 5.30 71% 4 17% 6 1.39 5 1.41 1 OAK 5 25 5.0%
    6 BAL 4.25 4.47 63% 15 18% 11 1.05 30 1.06 5 NYG 6 28 5.1%
    7 NYJ 4.23 3.87 66% 9 16% 4 1.06 28 0.32 32 ATL 7 26 5.1%
    8 SD 4.23 4.44 69% 5 16% 5 1.23 12 0.86 15 NE 8 32 5.4%
    9 DAL 4.22 4.61 57% 23 19% 16 1.31 8 0.97 9 SD 9 31 5.6%
    10 WAS 4.21 4.19 62% 18 20% 19 1.19 15 0.67 25 DET 10 36 5.9%
    11 DEN 4.19 4.67 56% 26 17% 9 1.31 7 0.94 10 PHI 11 32 5.9%
    12 BUF 4.19 5.08 67% 7 18% 14 1.27 9 1.31 2 BAL 12 33 5.9%
    13 JAC 4.14 4.28 64% 12 17% 8 1.19 16 0.76 20 DAL 13 39 6.1%
    14 OAK 4.13 4.52 67% 8 16% 3 1.12 24 1.05 7 TB 14 32 6.2%
    15 ARI 4.07 4.12 63% 16 20% 18 1.07 27 0.74 21 WAS 15 40 6.4%
    16 GB 4.06 4.08 61% 21 21% 24 1.16 18 0.63 26 CLE 16 39 6.4%
    RUN BLOCKING PASS PROTECTION
    Team Adj. Line
    Yards RB
    Yards Power
    Success Power
    Rank Stuffed Stuffed
    Rank 2nd Level
    Yards 2nd Level
    Rank Open Field
    Yards Open Field
    Rank Team Rank Sacks Adjusted
    Sack Rate
    17 MIA 4.05 4.28 46% 32 18% 13 1.14 19 0.82 17 NYJ 17 40 6.7%
    18 MIN 4.05 4.72 73% 1 23% 28 1.43 3 1.15 3 IND 18 35 6.9%
    19 SEA 4.01 4.12 73% 2 18% 10 1.11 26 0.72 24 KC 19 34 7.1%
    20 CIN 3.99 3.81 56% 25 22% 27 1.12 23 0.51 28 PIT 20 42 7.2%
    21 SF 3.96 4.17 51% 29 20% 22 1.12 22 0.92 12 CAR 21 35 7.2%
    22 TB 3.96 4.32 65% 10 21% 26 1.23 13 0.79 19 HOU 22 33 7.3%
    23 CLE 3.94 3.60 64% 13 16% 2 0.85 32 0.41 31 GB 23 41 7.4%
    24 CHI 3.92 4.39 61% 20 24% 30 1.25 11 1.03 8 SEA 24 48 8.1%
    25 IND 3.91 4.12 50% 30 20% 17 1.13 20 0.72 23 SF 25 44 8.4%
    26 PHI 3.89 4.54 67% 6 25% 32 1.43 2 1.10 4 JAC 26 44 8.9%
    27 ATL 3.84 4.23 59% 22 25% 31 1.17 17 1.05 6 ARI 27 54 9.1%
    28 NYG 3.81 3.77 53% 27 19% 15 1.05 29 0.49 29 STL 28 55 9.1%
    29 KC 3.81 3.89 62% 19 20% 21 1.11 25 0.55 27 DEN 29 41 9.2%
    30 STL 3.75 4.22 48% 31 20% 20 1.25 10 0.72 22 MIA 30 52 9.6%
    31 DET 3.70 4.22 52% 28 21% 25 1.13 21 0.89 14 CHI 31 49 9.8%
    32 TEN 3.39 3.78 72% 3 24% 29 1.03 31 0.81 18 MIN 32 49 9.8%
    x NFL x 4.31 62% x 19% x 1.08 x 0.74 x NFL x 37 6.7%

    The second table lists each team's Adjusted Line Yards in each direction listed in official NFL play-by-play, along with rank among the 32 teams. Only five directions are listed because research so far shows no statistically significant difference between how well a team performs on runs listed middle, left guard, and right guard.
    LEFT END LEFT TACKLE MID/GUARD RIGHT TACKLE RIGHT END
    TEAM ALY Rank ALY Rank ALY Rank ALY Rank ALY Rank
    1 NO 5.75 3 5.41 2 4.94 1 4.24 18 4.22 7
    2 NE 4.59 9 4.36 14 4.46 5 5.18 1 4.18 8
    3 PIT 0.65 32 4.87 4 4.41 6 4.79 5 4.75 3
    4 HOU 3.63 23 4.16 17 4.57 3 4.60 12 4.15 9
    5 CAR 5.85 2 4.11 19 3.87 23 4.03 24 5.56 1
    6 BAL 6.11 1 3.91 22 4.22 13 4.70 8 2.87 26
    7 NYJ 4.14 16 2.89 31 4.53 4 4.48 15 3.74 16
    8 SD 4.99 5 4.48 12 4.14 14 4.57 13 3.26 22
    9 DAL 4.70 8 4.77 5 4.36 9 3.27 29 3.82 13
    10 WAS 4.02 18 3.64 25 4.58 2 4.49 14 4.23 6
    11 DEN 3.35 26 4.04 21 4.08 15 5.09 2 4.51 5
    12 BUF 4.57 10 4.10 20 4.27 11 3.21 30 5.20 2
    13 JAC 3.81 19 5.11 3 4.25 12 2.56 32 3.81 14
    14 OAK 4.21 15 4.48 11 3.78 25 4.90 4 4.13 10
    15 ARI 3.38 25 4.25 15 4.02 17 4.65 10 3.33 21
    16 GB 3.69 20 4.12 18 4.36 8 4.61 11 3.42 18
    LEFT END LEFT TACKLE MID/GUARD RIGHT TACKLE RIGHT END
    TEAM ALY Rank ALY Rank ALY Rank ALY Rank ALY Rank
    17 MIA 4.56 11 4.63 7 4.37 7 2.62 31 1.92 31
    18 MIN 3.25 28 4.17 16 4.07 16 5.07 3 3.42 19
    19 SEA 2.39 30 4.49 10 4.01 18 4.33 16 2.05 30
    20 CIN 4.41 13 4.66 6 3.50 30 4.15 22 3.40 20
    21 SF 3.68 21 4.56 8 3.57 29 4.24 19 4.59 4
    22 TB 2.43 29 2.72 32 4.34 10 4.27 17 2.85 27
    23 CLE 2.02 31 4.45 13 3.91 22 4.71 6 1.47 32
    24 CHI 3.59 24 4.54 9 3.91 20 3.53 25 4.05 11
    25 IND 4.39 14 2.97 30 3.87 24 4.71 7 3.87 12
    26 PHI 4.78 7 2.98 29 3.68 28 4.19 21 3.68 17
    27 ATL 4.42 12 3.53 26 3.91 21 4.66 9 2.65 28
    28 NYG 4.03 17 3.76 23 3.94 19 3.50 26 3.74 15
    29 KC 4.88 6 5.67 1 3.39 32 3.43 27 2.94 25
    30 STL 5.12 4 3.42 28 3.74 26 4.09 23 3.23 23
    31 DET 3.67 22 3.65 24 3.71 27 4.22 20 2.44 29
    32 TEN 3.25 27 3.45 27 3.46 31 3.36 28 3.15 24
    x NFL 4.23 x 4.14 x 4.09 x 4.26 x 3.64 x

    The third table lists how often each team runs in each direction. Numbers may not add up to 100% due to carries listed without direction.
    Team RB
    Carries LEFT
    END LEFT
    TACKLE MID/
    GUARD RIGHT
    TACKLE RIGHT
    END
    1 HOU 509 10% 16% 41% 19% 14%
    2 KC 444 15% 11% 48% 9% 16%
    3 JAC 429 9% 7% 69% 5% 10%
    4 SF 427 14% 18% 44% 14% 11%
    5 MIA 415 7% 12% 63% 11% 7%
    6 BAL 414 4% 15% 56% 19% 7%
    7 CHI 410 14% 15% 41% 16% 15%
    8 DEN 410 5% 9% 67% 12% 6%
    9 OAK 407 12% 16% 51% 14% 6%
    10 CIN 405 12% 23% 39% 19% 7%
    11 ATL 404 13% 14% 45% 13% 14%
    12 NO 402 14% 8% 58% 10% 10%
    13 SD 400 12% 9% 55% 11% 12%
    14 NYJ 396 7% 10% 55% 20% 8%
    15 SEA 390 6% 29% 36% 23% 6%
    16 PIT 386 3% 6% 67% 17% 6%
    Team RB
    Carries LEFT
    END LEFT
    TACKLE MID/
    GUARD RIGHT
    TACKLE RIGHT
    END
    17 NE 377 16% 15% 44% 13% 11%
    18 STL 375 6% 22% 46% 14% 11%
    19 DAL 374 15% 13% 42% 15% 15%
    20 NYG 374 7% 18% 42% 16% 17%
    21 WAS 365 21% 17% 31% 12% 19%
    22 IND 353 8% 12% 54% 12% 14%
    23 CLE 345 4% 14% 67% 13% 2%
    24 TEN 344 11% 18% 45% 14% 12%
    25 PHI 342 23% 14% 34% 10% 19%
    26 ARI 339 9% 31% 36% 15% 9%
    27 BUF 333 8% 12% 60% 13% 7%
    28 MIN 330 9% 11% 59% 10% 10%
    29 GB 319 14% 15% 30% 16% 24%
    30 DET 309 8% 20% 46% 19% 7%
    31 CAR 307 15% 11% 57% 10% 7%
    32 TB 272 6% 11% 66% 11% 6%
    x NFL x 11% 15% 50% 14% 11%

    2011 OFFENSIVE LINES
    Last edited by Rambos; -01-14-2012 at 11:49 PM.

  5. #5
    BarronWade's Avatar
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    Re: B-Dub's mock off-season 2012 1.0

    These are some very telling stats...i mean when it comes to sacks theres more to it than the O-line but majority of the fault will be on them

    But given the circumstances of injuries and lack receiver separation last year i doubt we need to make a dramatic change. we defiantly need 1 interior lineman...

    But thanks for the O-line insight i will really consider better ways to fix it next time...however there is one stat that does not make sense to me at all and that is the adjusted sack rate 5 out of the final 7 teams at the bottom of that list finished at .500 or better and 3 of them made the playoffs

    The 2 teams worse than us the titans and Lions both had winning records...The Lions had a QB throw for 41TDs

    I see your point and will consider O-line fixes but these stats do not completely relate to nfl success...i mean the packers ranked in the middle while the jets ranked in the top 10 but obviously 1 team had far better talented playmakers than the other

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    TylerBishop is offline Registered User
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    Re: B-Dub's mock off-season 2012 1.0

    Draft isn't bad. I agree w/ you about OLB's, Williams will want young athletes at that position.

    Hate your FA acquisitions. You got 2 DT's who are physically done in this league that are built to disappoint. I love Finnegan however.

    Grossly dislike resigning Bell. I know he has a history w/ Fisher, but he has played himself right off this team.

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