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-04-25-2014 #1Registered User
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B/R Win-Loss Predictions (ft. A Twist)
The draft should be one round in by now, and I hate having to wait. I miss football. To pass the time, I read the article from B/R about our estimated win/loss record. Then I wanted to see what our opponents thought about playing us. Here are the results:
*NOTE* I know its WAY to early for these to mean anything, but I can't deal with any more mocks right now.
Week 1 - Rams Vs. VikingsRams Say:
At this time, we don't know who the Minnesota Vikings' starting quarterback will be in 2014. Will it be Matt Cassel, Teddy Bridgewater, Johnny Manziel or Blake Bortles? That's the million-dollar question in Minnesota.
For that reason alone, the Rams garner the edge in this game at home. They have enough weapons on offense to take the lead early on in the game and never look back. The Vikings deploy a stout defense, but their secondary has been shaky the last couple years.
In terms of talent, the two teams are evenly matched. But quarterback Sam Bradford offers up consistency at the most important position and will single-handedly will the Rams to a win over the Vikings.
The Rams have arguably the most disruptive front four in all of football, which will give any Vikings quarterback—whether it's Matt Cassel, Christian Ponder or a rookie—big troubles. And even more troublesome is the fact that St. Louis allowed just 3.7 yards per rush last season. The Vikings will need a polished effort on offense to beat the Rams on the road.
Prediction: Rams 27, Vikings 14
Week 2 - Rams @ BucsRams Say:
Over the course of the last two years, the Rams have won both of their meetings with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In 2012, Sam Bradford carved up Greg Schiano's defense. And in 2013, Robert Quinn destroyed quarterback Mike Glennon.
So, Rams fans should expect St. Louis to have the upper hand in the game as well, right? Wrong. Tampa Bay completely overhauled its organization. The Buccaneers wiped out their front office, brought in key free agents and hired Lovie Smith to coach the team.
With the moves they made, the Buccaneers have become immediate favorites to challenge the New Orleans Saints for the NFC South crown. Tampa Bay's moves also mean it has built one of the most intimidating rosters in the NFL.
St. Louis will have a hard time answering the pressure of Tampa Bay's front four.
In each of the last two seasons, both in late December, the St. Louis Rams have held the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to just 13 points and won each game by at least 10 points.
The 2014 version of this matchup isn’t in December and should go in a different direction.
Last season the Rams confused Mike Glennon by going into attack mode. Robert Quinn sacked Glennon three times and four other Rams added four more sacks. Glennon, likely bruised, only threw for 158 yards and had zero touchdowns.
New Bucs quarterback Josh McCown might handle the pressure better (because we know the Rams can still bring it), and the Bucs made some offseason moves in free agency to help the cause.
Tampa Bay should break into the win column this season against the Rams. The passing game will be better, and if the running back corps stays healthy, it will manage more than the 59 rushing yards it mustered last season.
SCORE PREDICTION: Tampa Bay 24, St. Louis 20
Week 3 - Rams Vs. CowboysRams Say:
When these two teams played in 2013, the Dallas Cowboys trounced the Rams. Shoot, the game was over by halftime. Nevertheless, things will be different this time around. St. Louis will deploy a more balanced attack on offense, Dallas' defense took a step back and Tavon Austin will play more of a role than he did last year.
There's no magic formula to win in the NFL, but St. Louis will go back to the tape and find one for its game versus Dallas. Another thing the Rams have to do is garner better starting field position. This was something that killed them last year early on in the season.
In all, the game will be a dogfight because Dallas has talent on offense, but the Rams will do just enough to steal a game in the NFC in front of their home crowd going into their bye week.
The young Rams appear to be getting better, especially with Sam Bradford coming back from injury. And the aging Cowboys appear to be getting worse, especially with DeMarcus Ware and Jason Hatcher now gone.
Sure, the Cowboys smoked St. Louis at AT&T Stadium early last season, but the Rams are also a much different team at home (nine wins the last two seasons), while Dallas' only road win against a winning team last year came in Philadelphia. Overall, the 'Boys were 3-5 out of Texas.
It's not as though this matchup with a fierce pass rush is terrible for the cool Tony Romo and his loaded arsenal of receivers. In fact, things are quite favorable for that offense. The question is which Bradford will show up for this game, and whether the Cowboys can stop him if he's hot and has Zac Stacy providing support. Either way, don't expect a blowout.
Prediction: Cowboys 24, Rams 23
This one could go either way, but we're not sure about Bradford that early.
Week 5 - Rams @ EaglesRams Say:
In 2013, Chip Kelly worked his magic in Philadelphia. He led the Eagles to the playoffs, transformed Nick Foles into an elite quarterback and revived Riley Cooper's career. That's saying something, because Andy Reid failed to do those three things in 2012.
Let's not forget, the Eagles defense started to play better down the stretch as well. By no means are the Eagles the team to beat in the NFC, but they are on the rise thanks in large part to Kelly.
As far as their matchup with the Rams goes, the odds will be in Philadelphia's favor. Why? Because the game is in Philadelphia, St. Louis has had trouble stopping LeSean McCoy in the past and Kelly's fast-paced offense will have the Rams on their heels.
The Rams are sneaky-good on both sides of the ball, especially defense. That's why the Eagles will have trouble pulling away here despite the fact that St. Louis has won just five road games in the last two seasons.
Without DeSean Jackson, it won't be easy to exploit that secondary. Plus, Foles could have trouble with one of only three defenses that recorded 50 sacks last season. And the Rams defense is also stellar against the run, so Kelly might not be able to resort to the ground game all day.
Prediction: Rams 20, Eagles 17
Sam Bradford isn't necessarily going to have his way with the Philly defense, but he might be able to do just enough while the Rams thwart the Eagles on the other side of the ball.
Week 6 - Rams Vs. *****Rams Say:
Even though the San Francisco ***** made it to the NFC Championship Game in 2011, 2012 and 2013, the Rams always find a way to keep their games with the ***** within arm's length. This is definitely a credit to head coach Jeff Fisher. He always has the team rearing to go from start to finish.
With Bradford under center, the Rams should have an edge in this game. The ***** took a step back on the defensive side of the ball, and their talent level on the offensive side of the ball isn't what it used to be. For months, questions have surrounded the wide receiver and running back positions.
By no means will this game be a blowout, yet it should resemble the game these two teams played at the Edward Jones Dome in 2012. It may take a late-game kick from Greg Zuerlein like it did in 2012, but that's OK. St. Louis will take a win over San Francisco any way it can get it.
Over the last couple of years, Jim Harbaugh and Jeff Fisher have had some pretty incredible battles. When no one expected the St. Louis Rams to beat the ***** in 2012, Fisher's club did just that at the Edward Jones Dome. St. Louis' defense forced overtime, and Greg Zuerlein hit the game-winning kick.
This particular game may not end the way that one did, but it will end up in the Rams' favor. St. Louis will attack the back end of San Francisco's defense with Tavon Austin and force Colin Kaepernick off his spot with Robert Quinn and Chris Long.
Obviously, a series split isn't ideal for the *****, but it's better than dropping both games to the Rams.
Week 7 - Rams Vs. SeahawksRams Say:
In both meetings last year, the Rams played the Seahawks incredibly tough. They were one-seconded away from winning on Monday Night Football and two or three plays away from winning at CenturyLink Field.
Surely, Sam Bradford would have been the difference-maker if he would have played in both games, yet there's no guarantee the Rams offense would have been able to overpower defensive coordinator Dan Quinn's defense.
Much like the games have been in year's past, St. Louis will hang tight and put pressure on Russell Wilson, but that simply won't be enough to win. Running back Marshawn Lynch will be the deciding factor late and close the game out for the Seahawks like he has done so many times before.
In surprising fashion, the Rams came out firing when they played the Seahawks on Monday Night Football last year. Zac Stacy was pounding the rock, Kellen Clemens was working the play-action pass and Robert Quinn made Russell Wilson's life hell on earth.
Yet, the Seahawks held strong and made plays when they had to down the stretch. It would be wise to expect the same kind of game this time around, because a Jeff Fisher-coached team is always right there with its opponent.
Seattle will win with its fearsome run game and strong play in the secondary. Having Russell Okung at left tackle will be a huge boost this time around as well. He neutralized Quinn in the final game of the year last season.
Week 8 - Rams @ ChiefsRams Say:
Under head coach Andy Reid, the Kansas City Chiefs rose from the ashes in 2013. The rise wasn't surprising. They had immense talent on the defensive side of the ball, the quarterback position played better than it had in years and Jamaal Charles finished as one of the best running backs in the league.
Can they build off of their superior season and win more than 11 games in 2014? No, because Kansas City's schedule will be tougher than it was in 2014. Yet, it will do something it has always done well: Win at home.
The Chiefs went 5-3 at home in 2013 and will use their advantage at Arrowhead to put the Rams away late in this game. St. Louis will battle all the way until the end, but their lack of talent on the back end will rear its ugly head.
The Chiefs don't play their in-state rival during the regular season very often. The last time the two teams met during the regular season in Kansas City was in 2002. The Chiefs have won the last five games dating to 1997.
In many ways, the Rams and the Chiefs are a lot alike. Both teams have a better defense than offense and are in need of a wide receiver. The most notable difference is the Chiefs have a better and more durable quarterback.
The Rams have the opportunity to close the gap in a few weeks with a good draft. The Rams have three picks in the top 50 including two in the top 15. The Chiefs have just one pick in the top 50, No. 23 overall.
In a tough division against a tough schedule, the Rams went 7-9 last year and didn't have their starting quarterback for the whole season. The Chiefs had a much easier schedule, but they also had four more wins.
Week 9 - Rams @ *****Rams Say:
There's no question the Rams play the San Francisco ***** tough. Every time these two teams play, Jeff Fisher has St. Louis well-prepared on the defensive side of the ball. However, the same can't be said about Brian Schottenheimer's offense.
Over the course of the last two years, Schottenheimer's offense has failed to break through and put a ton of points on the board. I realize the ***** deploy one of the best defenses in the NFL, but at some point the Rams need their offense to take a game over.
It might happen when they play the ***** at home, but there's no way they go into San Francisco and light up the scoreboard. This will end up costing them a divisional game.
Let's not forget, the ***** are one of the best home teams in the league.
The St. Louis Rams always manage to play the ***** tough. It's like head coach Jeff Fisher knows how to prepare better for the ***** than any other team. Yet, preparation only goes so far. In the end, talent can oftentimes trump preparation.
That's exactly what will happen to St. Louis when it travels to San Francisco. The ***** are a more talented team than the Rams, and just like in years past, the Rams will struggle to contain Anquan Boldin and Michael Crabtree.
Let's not forget, running back Frank Gore has made a mockery of St. Louis in the past as well, so the odds are in San Francisco's favor at home.
Week 10 - Rams @ CardsRams Say:
Despite getting trounced 30-10 in Arizona last year, the Rams know they can go into the desert and clip the Cardinals in 2014. It won't be easy, but what game in the NFC West is easy? For the second time in as many years, St. Louis will have to rely on its pass rush to knock quarterback Carson Palmer off his game.
Moreover, Gregg Williams' defense will have to keep Andre Ellington contained in the backfield. With Ellington garnering a bigger role in the Cardinals offense in 2014, the odds of him reeling off long runs increase substantially. This may prove to be bad news for the Rams defense.
In 2013, they allowed 12 runs of 20 yards or more and one run of 40 yards or more. The only way the Rams win this game is if they shut Ellington down the way they did last year. Fortunately for St. Louis, its defense will look similar to the way it did in 2013.
This, in turn, means it should have no problem holding Ellington to under 50 yards rushing for the second year in a row.
The Cardinals may have trounced the Rams 30-10 last year in Arizona, but that's not saying a lot considering Sam Bradford was on the sidelines with a torn ACL. This year's game will prove to be entirely different.
Bradford will be back under center, Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey will have a better grasp of the playbook and the back end of the Rams' defense won't be a liability (assuming they draft a safety). Plus, Zac Stacy will be looking to improve upon a stellar rookie season.
The improvement in all three phases for St. Louis should force a close game in Arizona. The Cardinals will have to eliminate mistakes, keep Robert Quinn off Carson Palmer and stack the box in an effort to slow Stacy down.
As much as I like the Cardinals in front of their home crowd, I have an eerie feeling the Rams are talented enough to split the season series and steal a game of the road.
Week 11 - Rams @ BroncosRams Say:
Even though this game is at the Edward Jones Dome, I have a hard time seeing the Rams competing with the Denver Broncos. Aside from the fact that the Broncos were in the Super Bowl last year, they bolstered their secondary and added Emmanuel Sanders to the mix on offense.
Denver is simply too good of a team to lose to St. Louis. That's not a knock on the Rams, because they are slowly getting better. But fans have to realize the Broncos' talent level is head and shoulders above that of the Rams.
Peyton Manning will push the ball up and down the field with ease, and the Broncos' secondary will overmatch the Rams' young wide receiving corps.
It's a short trip east for the Broncos to play the Rams in St. Louis. The Rams were the bottom-feeders in the NFC West last year, but they still managed to go 7-9.
The Rams were without their starting quarterback Sam Bradford for nine games last year and went 4-5 in his absence. The Rams also hold the right to the No. 2 overall pick and will have the opportunity to add an elite prospect that can help them win games in 2014.
With a pass rush consisting of Robert Quinn, Chris Long and potentially Jadeveon Clowney, the Rams are in position to put some heat on Manning like the Seahawks were able to do last season. No matter what the Rams are able to do defensively, Bradford is going to have to play well to beat the Broncos.
The Rams are a team to keep an eye on as a potential tough road game, but the Broncos are still the clearly superior team at this point. The draft can change a lot for the Rams as can a healthy and improved Bradford.
Week 12 - Rams @ ChargersRams Say:
It has been a while since the Rams traveled to the West Coast to play the San Diego Chargers. In fact, the last time these two teams played in San Diego, O.J. Atogwe was manning the free safety position, Stephen Davis was backing up Steven Jackson and Marc Bulger was playing quarterback.
Even though 2006 seems like ages ago, the Rams haven't notched eight wins in a year since that season. Thankfully, this week Rams will be well on their way to eight wins in 2014. And the Chargers will be one of those eight wins, because St. Louis matches up with San Diego quite well.
The Rams offense has a run game that will exploit the Chargers' front seven and a defense that will put pressure on San Diego's weak offensive line. You should expect Robert Quinn to have a big game against left tackle King Dunlap.
The St. Louis Rams came in last place in the NFC West last season, but they are much better than your average bottom-dweller. The Rams were 7-9 on the season but also were without their starting quarterback, Sam Bradford, for nine games.
Additionally, the Rams had quality wins over the New Orleans Saints, Indianapolis Colts and Arizona Cardinals. Only two of the Rams' nine losses were to teams that finished under .500.
The good news is the Chargers get to play the game at home. The Rams were 2-6 last season on the road, and one win was against the 2-14 Houston Texans.
The Rams were inconsistent defending the run, a key factor in stopping the Chargers. The Rams allowed the second-fewest yards per carry, but they were 28th in rushing touchdowns allowed and ninth in yards allowed.
The Rams were statistically better against the run on the road, but they allowed more than 100 rushing yards five times compared to just twice at home. The Rams were 1-6 when they allowed more than 100 rushing yards and 6-3 when allowing fewer than 100 rushing yards.
Week 13 - Rams Vs. RaidersRams Say:
Without question, the Oakland Raiders made a tremendous effort to get better this offseason. They improved their pass rush with Justin Tuck, shored up the back end of their defense with Carlos Rogers and retooled their offensive line with Austin Howard.
Yet, that doesn't mean they will win any more games than they did last year. The Raiders still have a glaring hole at the quarterback position and their wide receiving corps is unproven. Look for the Rams to take advantage of that weak wide receiving corps by sending exotic blitz packages at Matt Schaub.
Gregg Williams knows how to dial up a defense, which will ultimately spell trouble for the Raiders offense. Sam Bradford will also do his part and attack Oakland up the seams with Jared Cook and Lance Kendricks.
The St. Louis Rams went 7-9 in a tough division and beat a couple playoff teams in 2013, but they weren't much better than their record indicated. The Rams had a below-average offense and average defense in 2013 in terms of points allowed.
Quarterback Sam Bradford is one of the biggest wild cards for the Rams. For the time being, the Rams are standing behind Bradford, but he has a lot to prove in 2014. The Raiders will likely have to take advantage of him to win the game.
Pass-rusher Robert Quinn is a dangerous player and the Rams should add another elite talent to the fold since they hold the rights to the No. 2 overall pick. A top player in this draft could have a big or small impact on the outcome of football games as a rookie depending on the player and position.
The Rams lost to only one non-playoff team at home last season, so the Raiders are going to need a very good performance to beat them. Even though the Rams may have a slight edge, this seems like a winnable road game for the Raiders.
Week 14 - Rams @ RedskinsRams Say:
For the first time in a long time, Washington Redskins owner Dan Snyder had a good offseason. He hired Jay Gruden to lead the team, and signed DeSean Jackson and Andre Roberts to improve the wide receiving corps.
Yet, there is still one major problem. The Redskins defense didn't get any better. And in today's NFL, the Seahawks proved that defenses can still win championships.
No, the Rams offense won't trample the Redskins defense like so many other teams have before, but Zac Stacy will be the catalyst in this game. St. Louis' run game has gashed Washington in the past (2012), so one should expect an even better rushing performance from the Rams this time around.
The St. Louis Rams have quietly won 14 games the last two years, which is more than Washington, but only five of those have come on the road, which I guess shouldn't be surprising for a young team like that.
That said, the 'Skins could have some trouble here. Yeah, they should have opportunities to use their speed against a beatable secondary, but we all saw how much trouble RGIII's pass protectors had last season, and St. Louis has one of the league's most potent pass rush. The Rams were one of only three teams with more than 50 sacks in 2013.
Prediction: Redskins 27, Rams 23
I don't think Sam Bradford necessarily has the tools at his disposal to light it up against this D, so Washington hangs on for a close victory at home.
Week 15 - Rams Vs. CardsRams Say:
The Rams won one game last year in the NFC West, their only win coming against the Arizona Cardinals at home. So, St. Louis is hoping its fortunes in 2014 are similar to those in 2013. The organization knows wins, especially those in the NFC West, are tough to come by.
Yet beating the Cardinals for the second time in as many years at home will be a daunting task. Arizona got better as the season pressed on in 2013, and St. Louis took a step back. Obviously, previous years' results don't predict the future, but they might in this case.
Why? Because all signs point to the Cardinals picking up where they left off in 2013. As I mentioned, they had a strong finish to the season and added veteran talent on both sides of the ball in free agency. The Rams, on the other hand, remained idle and did nothing to improve a less-than-impressive secondary.
It's hard not to like the overall direction of the Rams under Jeff Fisher, but Bruce Arians' club is one of the 10 best teams in the league. For this reason alone, the Cardinals will come away victorious in a hard-fought battle.
The Cardinals opened the season on a sour note last year. Carson Palmer took too many sacks, the Rams' Jared Cook ran wild and the offensive side of the ball couldn't move the ball after halftime. That's a disaster right there.
The good news is that Bruce Arians won't let that happen this year. When the Cardinals travel to St. Louis, Arizona will be a well-oiled machine. It will be more consistent, make more plays and perform better against St. Louis' tight ends.
No NFC West game is easy, but the Cardinals already know that. They have more playmakers than the Rams, which will ultimately allow them to steal a game on the road. Sometimes, talent trumps all the other variables.
Week 16 - Rams Vs. GiantsRams Say:
Remember the days of Steve Spagnuolo, Billy Devaney and Cadillac Williams? Yes, it's a painful memory, but the Rams are a totally different team now. They are a more sound team defensively, the offensive side of the ball has more playmakers and Coach Fisher is a far better coach than Spagnuolo was.
In turn, Fisher's presence alone has made them a more competitive team. St. Louis' competitive nature will come in handy, because the New York Giants made a ton of improvements during the offseason. They now have a stout secondary, the offensive line isn't in shambles and Rashad Jennings brought talent to their ground game.
That's all fine and dandy, yet that doesn't change the fact the Giants don't play well on the road. They ended the 2013 season with a 3-5 record away from New York. This will give the Rams a distinct advantage in a game with two otherwise evenly matched teams.
The Rams have won nine home games over the last two seasons and have the type of pass rush that could make life miserable for Eli Manning and Co. That's why the Giants will have their hands full, especially if Sam Bradford is back to form and if Zac Stacy can have a breakout second season.
If the Giants can't get pressure on Bradford and if Manning can't escape a pass rush that ranked third in the league with 53 sacks in 2013, the Giants won't survive this game. Considering that Manning doesn't exactly have a deep group of receivers to exploit that secondary, it looks gloomy.
Prediction: Rams 24, Giants 21
The Rams are much better than anyone realized, and there's little reason to believe they can't upset New York this late in the year, especially if the Giants have their typical December injury woes. Hell, in St. Louis, it might not even be viewed as an upset.
Week 17 - Rams @ SeahawksRams Say:
The Rams may have lost their last meeting in Seattle, yet that doesn't mean they didn't compete. The game was much closer than the score (27-9) indicated. The defensive side of the ball held up its end of the deal, but the offense couldn't break through.
Unfortunately for the Rams, that will be the case again this year. Zac Stacy will get his on the ground, but St. Louis' wide receivers will fail to get separation versus Richard Sherman and Co. This will ultimately doom the Rams in the end.
Moreover, winning in the Pacific Northwest is almost impossible. The Rams are making strides, but the Seahawks are still the class of the NFC after a Super Bowl win in 2013.
Whether it's Sam Bradford or Kellen Clemens under center for St. Louis, the Seahawks have had their way with the Rams since 2010. That's not saying much based on the fact the Rams haven't had a winning season in a decade.
Nevertheless, a win is a win. And the Seahawks will be setting themselves up for another win when the Rams travel to the Pacific Northwest in 2014. It's hard to tell which St. Louis team will show up, but that won't matter as long as Seattle holds St. Louis to under 200 yards of total offense like it did last year.
Holding a team to less than 200 yards of total offense is no easy feat, but if any one team can do it, the Seahawks can.
Rams record Via "Rams": 8-8
Rams record Via Opponents: 5-11
Re: B/R Win-Loss Predictions (ft. A Twist)
There's only one way to respond to that:
Re: B/R Win-Loss Predictions (ft. A Twist)
Even if your predictions for the most part are truth, I no way see the Skins beating us! We wooped up on RG the Third last time and he was crying we hit him too much in that game. And it is week 14, not even sure they will have a QB still standing by then. I would take our defense over theirs any day in the week. So with that we go at least 9 & 7 according to your presented analysis. That would be our first winning season in a long long time, excited to see that happen! Go Rams...
-04-25-2014 #4Registered User
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Re: B/R Win-Loss Predictions (ft. A Twist)
Whoa there, lets not call this mine. I'm just the messenger!
Re: B/R Win-Loss Predictions (ft. A Twist)
yea...some didn't make sense to me
too many times i see teams split games in predictions
sure it happens...but it doesn't have to all the time
and i don't see the rams not winning against seattle both times
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