Results 1 to 4 of 4
  1. #1
    AvengerRam's Avatar
    AvengerRam is offline Moderator Emeritus
    Join Date
    May 2004
    Location
    Longwood, Florida, United States
    Age
    46
    Posts
    18,025
    Rep Power
    164

    How to Read Between-the-Lines and Predict Draft Choices

    I'll start by contradicting my own thread title - YOU CAN'T REALLY PREDICT DRAFT CHOICES. Even the best "experts" generally have no better than a 1 in 3 accuracy rate for the players selected, and a 1 in 2 accuracy rate for picking the correct positions to be drafted by each team.

    That said, here are some tips that will increase your ability to anticipate what draft day will bring:

    1. Ignore what the teams say (and the reporters who report it). Nobody - not even the team with the first pick (unless they pre-sign a player) is going to reveal their intentions prior to the draft. In fact, they are more likely to deliberately mislead than to divulge anything meaningful.

    2. Don't buy into the "best player available" concept too much. While a lot of teams like to spout the "BPA" party line, few live up to it. Truth is, BPA is in the eye of the beholder anyway.

    3. There usually is some method to the madness. With the exception of Detroit, most teams make rational choices to select players in positions of need. But don't assume that "position of need" means that there isn't a good player on the roster already. If a team has a Pro Bowl player who is (1) 30 or over, or (2) in a contract year, that is a position of need.

    4. There will be a trade that will mess up all preditions. Its going to happen. You won't know where or when, but it will happen.

    So, sit back and enjoy the draft. Its the uncertainty that makes it fun!


  2. #2
    txramsfan's Avatar
    txramsfan is offline Registered User
    Join Date
    May 2001
    Location
    Poplar Bluff, MO
    Age
    50
    Posts
    7,266
    Rep Power
    64

    Re: How to Read Between-the-Lines and Predict Draft Choices

    Uncertainty does make it at least "entertaining" as the paint drying time between picks seems to get longer as your team gets closer to drafting.

    Trades? Don't be surprised if New Orleans makes a trade while on the clock...and the Rams/Ravens come up with something.

  3. #3
    RamsFan16's Avatar
    RamsFan16 is offline Registered User
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Location
    Cedar Rapids, Iowa
    Age
    24
    Posts
    5,072
    Rep Power
    38

    Re: How to Read Between-the-Lines and Predict Draft Choices

    Make educated guesses
    RamsFan16

  4. #4
    bigredman's Avatar
    bigredman is offline Registered User
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    El Paso, Texas
    Age
    56
    Posts
    1,815
    Rep Power
    61

    Re: How to Read Between-the-Lines and Predict Draft Choices

    Agreed...although I'd put Arizona there with Detroit. The buzz in Northern California is that the whiners obtained that extra first round pick to package for a trade up in the draft to snag a top defensive player.
    [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •