Originally Posted by
sdobbers
I agree that patience will be running thin if we end up picking the Top 5 next year. I keep hearing everyone talking about how we'll be in the Top 5 next season and we can just take Jake Locker. Sorry guys, but Spags has absolutely no plans to pick in the Top 5 next year. He knows there's a tough road ahead, but you better believe that he has every intention of NOT picking in the top 5/10 next season. He's not counting on Jake Locker being at where they are picking next year.
Not only that...teams DO NOT plan this draft around next years draft. They're not going to be like, oh hey there's so and so next year so we'll just wait and pick them up!!! Because...
1) They have no idea where they will be picking next year.
2) How that person's stock is going to look...maybe they suck next year, get injured, etc.
3) Maybe someone steps up and they don't need that position anymore.
The possibilities are endless. I think it is very safe to assume that Spags is NOT counting on drafting Jake Locker next year.
PS. I have no clue why everyone thinks we are going to find our starting QB in rounds 2 and later. QB's in round 2 have ~75% bust rate, and it gets worse from there. Yes, a few gems sneak through, however they are very very rare. The reason the bust rates are so high in the later rounds is...usually if they have the potential to be a franchise QB, teams will take them in the 1st because they are vital to the team.
Three main keys to success (in order of importance):
1) Get a franchise QB.
2) Protect the franchise QB.
3) Put pressure on the opponents QB.
*Bangs head* No, no one is a lock for #1 overall until that card is handed in. Right now Suh has a very good possibility of being #1 overall, however, a lot can change between now and the draft. A QB may rate out as a franchise QB, or maybe Gerald McCoy has an amazing combine and rates out higher. Who knows. All I'm saying is, let's wait until that card is handed in before we start declaring someone a lock for #1 please.