Now that the top free agents, at least most of the top paid ones, are off the market, and some pro days are done, the first round at least is starting to shape up. It's getting clearer which teams will be backed into a corner in round one, and may have to reach a bit. and which teams are more likely to take the best player available pretty much.
As expected, a couple quarterbacks are moving up in mock drafts, and now three at least are predicted to go in round one. That could become four, depending how much Buffalo's new head coach wants to go get his college QB, Ryan Nassib.
Cleveland, picking sixth, is giving Geno Smith a private workout, leading to speculation that their new regime isn't sold at all on Brandon Weeden.
Will that workout freak the Cardinals, picking 7th, into trying to make a trade with a top 5 team? Without question Jacksonville, picking second, will try to deal down, as will Kansas City, picking first.
Oakland, with the third pick, could force Arizona to get ahead of them to be relatively sure they get Smith, because you never know what they will do, and because they could trade, or even take Smith themselves, with Carson Palmer on the way out of Oakland.
At any rate, the Rams don't care about who takes Smith, or any QB. They just hope as many as possible go in the top 15.
I'm going to say that only one passer goes top 15, and if more do, I will be very happy.
Based on the post combine/pro day so far player rankings, team needs and usual draft position for that position player, factoring second round value positions of strength, here is how it looks right now.
These are the players sure to be gone at 16
OT Joeckel, Fisher, Johnson
DT Floyd, Luteleilei, Richardson
LB Jones, Jordan
That's your top tier, and forget about them barring a trade.
Here is tier two, four of whom will be gone by 16
G Warmack, Cooper
I think one of the guards, Patterson, Rhodes, and Mingo will be those guys.
The best player left looks to be a guard, Ogletree, Werner, or maybe a WR if one climbs.
To me, looking at the WR talent, and who looks to go from 18 to 21, I think the Rams would be best served by waiting till 22 and targetting a WR, or moving up a couple picks to get the guy they want most.
I rate both guards over all the wide receivers, and also Ogletree, Rhodes, Werner, and Mingo.
However at 22, I would be thrilled with Justin Hunter, Tavon Austin, Terrence Williams, or DeAndre Hopkins. I might even be willing to deal down a bit if ALL are still there at 22, if I am sure I would still get one of them.
I scout and scout these guys, watch the highlights, the combine etc, and I keep coming back to the fact that I really want Hopkins to be a Ram. They won't get him in round two, but maybe a short deal down from 22 would leave him on the board.
I like his interviews, where he really seems like a humble, but confident guy, seems well spoken, and I just love the way he catches the football.
Having said that, I'd be OK with Austin, Hunter or Williams as well.
If two QBs or three go top 15, it would be a huge boon for the Rams, becase it would mean that BOTH guards could be there, with Cooper even projecting to center as well as guard.
It's possible then that NO WR goes to 15, or that Richardson or Rhodes might even fall to 16.
I love Rhodes, but I doubt he gets past Tampa Bay, the Saints and the Panthers.
Werner is a key as well, if he goes top 15, another player drops.
The Rams, by locking in Long and Cook, probably have eliminated those two positions from round one possibility, unless of course they see Saffold as one and done, and still keep Fluker on their wish list at 22. Chances are he won't get past the Bengals, at 21 anyway, replacing another big Alabama mauler, FA Andre Smith at RT.
Ogletree has off field issues, or he would surely be high on the Rams list, and he might be.
If the Rams don't snatch him, or he doesn't go top 15, I see the Giants and Bears salivating over him, and Dallas could even snatch him 18th, as a value pick.
In my mock draft, figuring one QB, no Werner in the top 15, I have the Rams taking
G Chance Warmack, but if Werner or another QB go early, they could also get Cooper, who I take because he could project to center, if Wells fails again. Then you cut wells to save cap next year.
In my mock, Patterson and Austin are gone by 22, Patterson to Tennessee, and Austin to Pittsburgh. The Steelers may go RB with E. Lacey instead, since they like getting WR later in drafts, as they did Wallace.
I have the Rams taking Hunter at 22, based on his upside. He's a healthy DX, with a poor man's Randy Moss potential. He's low mileage, and though he won't help the return game, he's my guy.
I think the Rams will have signed a safety and/or OLB by draft day,
In round two, I can see the Rams looking defense, but if one of those other top WR drops, or Quentin Patton, Robert Woods, Keenan Allen they may not be able to pass on them.
If they go defense, the best available guys will be among LB K. Greene, S. Moore,
C. Thomas, or safeties Cyprian, Elam, Reid, Shamarko Thomas or Shawn Williams.
An outside shot would be a RB, but my guess is they start looking there round three
And as they say, you can't have enough cornerbacks, so that's always possible.
No announcement yet.
Draft/FA Blog, After the Storm
Now that the Senior Bowl is firmly in the rear view mirrior, here's an updated look at how things could shake out in the first round of the NFL Draft this year. As always, feedback and constructive criticism is welcome! ROUND ONE 1. Tennessee Titans: Laremy Tunsil, OT, Mississippi -Tennessee is second in the league in sacks allowed, and no quarterback when pressured has been sacked at as large of a percentage as Marcus Mariota has been. Tunsil gives the Titans a legitimate left tackle to pair with Taylor Lewan on the offensive line. 2. Cleveland Browns: Jared Goff, QB, California -The hype train for Carson Wentz is in full steam, but I'm not ready to put him in the Top 5 as some other people are. I still view Goff as the top QB in the class, meaning he makes a lot of sense for a Cleveland team that is tired of Johnny Manziel's screw ups. 3. San Diego Chargers: Jalen Ramsey, CB, Florida State -Brandon Flowers was graded out as one of the worst corners in the league by Pro Football Focus, and Eric Weddle won't be coming back. The Chargers could use help in both areas, and Ramsey is capable of excelling at either at the next level. 4. Dallas Cowboys: Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State -Will the Cowboys flirt with taking a QB here? Maybe, but I also think Jerr...-01-31-2016, 04:12 PM
RamView, January 3, 2016 Game #16: ***** 19, Rams 16 (OT) The ever-inconsistent Rams regress back to the mean and end another losing season with another disappointing loss to a team they had no business losing to. The hallmark of Jeff Fisher Rams football isn't the running game or aggressive defense, it's miserable losses like this one. Good riddance to 2015. Position by position: * QB: Case Keenum (23-37-231, PR 77.6) does a lot right for the Rams at QB. He runs the offense with good tempo and gets the ball out quickly on quick-timing plays. He’s smart and tough in the pocket, uses his mobility well and rarely gets sacked. The best example of that was a play he made in the 3rd. He rolled right, deked a free-running Aaron Lynch into pul...-01-05-2016, 10:50 PM
The Todd Gurley-less Rams finished their season 7-9 with a disappointing OT loss to the whiners by the score of 19-16 on the strength of terrible third down play on both sides of the ball, untimely penalties, terrible field goal kicking and some highly suspect play calling with the team poised to win the game in overtime. The Rams shortcomings against a 5-11 couldnt have been more obvious today. At the end of the day, Case Keenum is not an NFL starting qb, albeit a reasonable backup. Way too many missed opportunities, and without todd gurley, and with all of our injuries on defense, we arent close to good enough to simply have a qb who is going to avoid mistakes at all costs, afraid to make throws. Toss in some untimely drops by our receivers and at least one terrible call by the refs that obviously cost us 3 points at the minimum, and you find a way to lose a game that we all know we should have won. No points...-01-04-2016, 02:51 AM
In what should be considered their most impressive win in the Fisher era, the Rams won their third game in a row by beating and beating up the seachickens in a tremendous 23-17 win. The Rams capitalized on 3 seachicken turnovers (one of which resulted in a defensive touchdown), didn't turn the ball over themselves, kept the penalties to a minimum, and scrounged out just enough offense to earn their first season sweep of the chickens since 2004. The Rams played their best half of the year jumping out to a 16-3 lead at the break and hung in there to avoid a collapse at the scene of so many painful prior year debacles. Frankly, i am riddled with mixed and incredibly extreme and passionate emotions at this point. On the one hand, i am so thrilled with a tremendous win over a playoff caliber team on the road in which the Rams proved once and for all that they have the talent and capability to win big games, notwithstanding...-12-28-2015, 02:40 AM
Good write up.
I think it was ugly that we accepted the penalty with the Seagulla on 4 and 10. Giving them a new (long) third down. I am pretty sure they would not have gone for it on 4 and 10.
Else great game.-12-28-2015, 02:39 AM
RamView, December 17, 2015 Game #14: Rams 31, Bucs 23 If this was the Rams' last week in St. Louis, at least they made it a heck of a week. They won for the second time in five days Thursday night and made the Bucs look like the team that could not cut the mustard. Position by position: * QB: Case Keenum (14-17-234, 2 TD, PR 158.0) managed the heck out of this game. He led the Rams to an opening drive TD throwing little but screens and swing passes. But Case did not live on small ball alone, also throwing a perfect 60-yard TD bomb to Kenny Britt later in the 1st. The Ram passing game was in good rhythm much of the game, and Keenum distributed the ball well. On the Rams' TD drive in the 2nd, he hit Tavon Austin for 13, Lance K...-12-20-2015, 04:01 AM